|
|
Lupo, Coralie; Dutta, Bhagat Lal; Petton, Sebastien; Ezanno, P; Tourbiez, Delphine; Travers, Marie-agnes; Pernet, Fabrice; Bacher, Cedric. |
Vibrio aestuarianus infection in oyster populations causes massive mortality, resulting in losses for oyster farmers. Such dynamics result from host-pathogen interactions and contagion through water-borne transmission. To assess the spatiotemporal spread of V. aestuarianus infection and associated oyster mortality at a bay scale, we built a mathematical model informed by experimental infection data at 2 temperatures and spatially dependent marine connectivity of oyster farms. We applied the model to a real system and tested the importance of each factor using a number of modelling scenarios. Results suggest that introducing V. aestuarianus in a fully susceptible adult oyster population in the bay would lead to the mortality of all farmed oysters over 6 to... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Basic reproduction number; Crassostrea gigas; Hydrodynamics; Oyster disease; Sensitivity analysis; Vibrio aestuarianus. |
Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00662/77459/79114.pdf |
| |